Sunday, October 09, 2016

Vegas Odds on Tonight's Debate

Considering most of the GOP establishment has dropped out of his campaign, that he has had arguably the worst 48 hour period in the history of any presidential candidate, and that he's been tweeting about the ugliest moments of the Clinton Family's past this morning, tonight's debate is going to be shocking and a very low moment for our nation.  Honestly (this is meant to be a glib post, but I'm going to be serious for a second), I'm a little bit worried I won't be able to get through it.  I can't stand the GOP on most days, but at least I normally can see where they're coming from, but the hypocrisy of denouncing Trump after the Billy Bush video but not after Trump attacked POW's, people with disabilities, Mexicans, immigrants, Muslims, gold-star families, President Obama, women, and I'm confident there are more. (the list is long people) is ridiculous.  The point is, unless you're Ben Sasse or Mitt Romney, you don't really get a pass on Trump-that ship has sailed.  Anyway, though, to get us through the day, here's a cheeky little Vegas betting odds to see how the night is going:

Odds that...

-Trump mentions one/all of the following names: Kathleen Willey, Juanita Broaddrick, Monica Lewinsky, Paula Jones, and Gennifer Flowers (Even)

-Clinton says that he should "focus on campaigning against me, and keep our families out of it" (Also Even)

-CNN will show reaction shots of Bill and Chelsea despite it being in extremely poor taste (11-8)

-Clinton will win the Debate (9-5)

-Kelly Ayotte, Rob Portman, or John McCain are personally attacked by Trump (5-2)

-Trump will state that Mike Pence fully supports him (3-1)

-Mike Pence will be off the ticket by Friday (5-1)

-Trump personally insults one of the questioners, likely a female one, during the Town Hall audience segment (6-1)

-Kellyanne Conway and Reince Priebus have started day drinking at this point (7-1)

-Trump won't show up (10-1)

-Trump announces that he's not going to run anymore, stunning the audience and genuinely leaving the Republic in a quagmire (25-1)

-Melania Trump doesn't show up (50-1)

-Trump tells Clinton that "my daughter is way hotter than your daughter" (100-1)

-Martha Raddatz and Anderson Cooper start turning Trump into a drinking game...during the debate (250-1)

-Paul Ryan and Mitch McConnell are still supporting Trump by Friday (500-1)

-Ted Cruz or Mike Pence will be president in 2020 after their disastrous miscalculation of the situation (1000-1)

-Melania files for divorce before Election Day (2500-1)...though I'm giving 3-1 that she does it by New Year's

-Shia LaBeouf was in fact Donald Trump the whole time, and this is just one of his bizarre performance pieces (5000-1)

-Trump will apologize in the opening segment, and then proceed to have a decent, calm debate about the issues (10,000-1)

-That people who didn't vote in the primary will still continue to complain about them "both being bad" and "why can't we have better choices" without any sense of irony over them literally being the problem and if they wanted different choices they should take a damn Civics class or maybe learn how a party chooses their nominee (Even)

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