Democratic Senate Candidate Michelle Nunn |
I skipped last week’s primaries but with only a few
Tuesday’s worth noting for the rest of the year (including major Democratic races in Massachusetts and Hawaii, because Democrats do have primaries too), I
didn’t think I could pass up the runoff elections in Georgia Tuesday night. Here are my five thoughts about the
results:
1. Polling Sucks this
Year
Admittedly, they were not all the crème de la crème of the
political polling world, but almost all polling and conventional wisdom had
Rep. Jack Kingston, a longtime Republican congressman, defeating businessman
David Perdue. In a year where
polling has been sketchy at best (see also the Mississippi Senate primary and
Eric Cantor’s reelection campaign), it is becoming extremely difficult to see
the actual race between all of the polls.
I’d like to think that this should hopefully cut down on polling
companies that are out there (this is a less is more sort of circumstance), but
considering the way the media covers every poll that comes out, I doubt that
happens.
2. Is this Good News
for Michelle Nunn?
The big question of the morning, particularly since this is
the first GOP surprise against the establishment in a Senate primary this year (Kingston was a longtime
legislator and had more support out of Washington) is whether or not Perdue’s
victory makes the Republicans more or less certain of victory in this
race. I do feel that Perdue adds
an element of “what will happen? “
that Kingston doesn’t.
Perdue has said a few off-the-cuff comments against some of his primary
opponents that give him more potential to say something ostentatious (Kingston
is more practiced), though he doesn’t have the Washington politician baggage
for Nunn to use (the perfect opponent for her, Paul Broun, didn’t survive to
the runoff).
3. The Democrats Have
Done Well This Year in Georgia
This is particularly important because the Democratic Party
has done an amazing job this year in Georgia. Name me another red state where the Democrats got a decent
candidate against every statewide Republican. Though all of the press has been about Jason Carter and
Michelle Nunn running strong races against Republicans in a state where
demographics favor the GOP, but by a decreasing margin, it’s worth noting that
Democrats got a number of politicians of various experience levels to run for
all of the constitutional offices in the state. As the Democrats position themselves for 2016 and beyond in
the Peach State (which looks a lot like Virginia did eight years ago), a strong showing by either Carter or Nunn in November could
create coattails, giving Democrats in the state something they are severely lacking:
a bench.
4. The
End of the Road for Bob Barr?
Few politicians in the past two decades have had a career
quite as storied as Rep. Bob Barr’s.
Elected during the 1994 landslide by defeating longtime incumbent Buddy Darden,
Barr went on to be one of the most boisterous and controversial figures in
Congress during his eight-year tenure there (he was one of the House managers
during the Clinton impeachment trials, probably his most noted achievement in
Congress). He later went on to be a
vehement critic of the Bush administration, and adapted a Libertarian
philosophy that won him the party’s nomination for President in 2008 against
Barack Obama and John McCain. His
loss in the runoff (which was expected) probably spells the end of any hope of
Barr reaching Congress again-his appearance in the runoff was a bit of a
surprise to begin with, and it’s doubtful he’ll be in a situation where he’s
that close to winning a seat again.
5. Jody Hice is a Name
You’re About to Learn
While Bob Barr and his headline-grabbing talking points are
not going to be in Washington next year, Jody Hice won the primary race to
succeed Paul Broun (and when you’re looking more eyebrow-raising than Paul
Broun…). With Michele Bachmann
leaving Congress, John Boehner may have been breathing a sigh of relief, but
Hice will surely make up for her absence.
Hice has made deeply incendiary remarks about Islam not qualifying under
the first amendment, said incredibly offensive things about gay people (both
that they are trying to turn America’s youth gay and that same-sex marriage is
similar to losing a parent in a car accident), and has said that women should
be able to run for office, provided they are “within the authority of their
husband.” So yeah, this guy will
be in Congress next year. Good
luck America.
And those are my thoughts coming out of Georgia-there’s one
more thought I have regarding the Senate race, but we’ll be getting there this
weekend. What about you? Anything I missed in Georgia on
Tuesday?
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